How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Inter, at 48.3%. The other outcomes represent 51.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 26.2% · Draw: 25.5% · Away win: 48.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Inca Aruba 1470; Inter 1606. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera Division · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 00:00
Inca Aruba
Elo 1470
0
-
2
Inter
Elo 1606
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Elo Advantage
-136
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Inca Aruba1470
Inter1606
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Inca Aruba
0Draws
2Inter
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
CORRECT
Home
26%
Draw
25%
Away
48%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Clean Sheet
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
22%
Draw
35%
Away
42%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.