Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC

K League 1 · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 · 05:00

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Bucheon FC 1995, at 49.4%. The other outcomes represent 50.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 49.4% · Draw: 22.1% · Away win: 28.4%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Bucheon FC 1995 1624; Gwangju FC 1591. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 0–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

K League 1 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026 · 05:00
Bucheon FC 1995
Elo 1624
0 - 3
Gwangju FC
Elo 1591
FT HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
1W 2D 2L
Away Form (5)
1W 1D 3L
Elo Advantage
+33
H2H (3)
1H 2D 0A

Elo rating comparison

Bucheon FC 19951624
Gwangju FC1591

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

1Bucheon FC 1995
2Draws
0Gwangju FC

3 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
49% conf. WRONG
Home
49%
Draw
22%
Away
28%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf. CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf. WRONG
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
60% conf. CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf. WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
51% conf. CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Half-Time Result
41% conf. WRONG
Home
38%
Draw
41%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf. CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf. CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
70% conf. CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Over 1.5 Goals
69% conf. CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
50% conf. CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
77% conf. CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf. CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%

How to read these predictions

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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