How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Gimcheon Sangmu FC, at 35.8%. The other outcomes represent 64.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 35.8% · Draw: 29.1% · Away win: 35.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1718; Daejeon Citizen 1820. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
K League 1 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 05:00
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Elo 1718
1
-
2
Daejeon Citizen
Elo 1820
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
4D
0L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
-103
H2H (3)
2H
1D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Gimcheon Sangmu FC1718
Daejeon Citizen1820
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1Draws
0Daejeon Citizen
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
36% conf.
WRONG
Home
36%
Draw
29%
Away
35%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
CORRECT
Home
26%
Draw
42%
Away
31%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 3.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.