Gimpo Citizen vs Gimhae City

K League 2 · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 · 07:30

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Gimpo Citizen, at 57.2%. The other outcomes represent 42.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 57.2% · Draw: 24.7% · Away win: 18%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Gimpo Citizen 1582; Gimhae City 1448. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 1–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

K League 2 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026 · 07:30
Gimpo Citizen
Elo 1582
1 - 2
Gimhae City
Elo 1448
FT HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W 1D 2L
Away Form (5)
0W 2D 3L
Elo Advantage
+134
H2H (2)
2H 0D 0A

Elo rating comparison

Gimpo Citizen1582
Gimhae City1448

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

2Gimpo Citizen
0Draws
0Gimhae City

2 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
57% conf. WRONG
Home
57%
Draw
25%
Away
18%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf. WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf. CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
58% conf. CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf. WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
60% conf. WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Half-Time Result
43% conf. CORRECT
Home
42%
Draw
43%
Away
15%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf. CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf. WRONG
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
72% conf. CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf. CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf. WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
78% conf. CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf. CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Verified performance

Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?

No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.