How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Chengdu Better City, at 54.6%. The other outcomes represent 45.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 54.6% · Draw: 22.4% · Away win: 23%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Chengdu Better City 1850; Dalian Zhixing 1755. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Super League · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 07:30
Chengdu Better City
Elo 1850
0
-
1
Dalian Zhixing
Elo 1755
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
+96
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Chengdu Better City1850
Dalian Zhixing1755
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Chengdu Better City
0Draws
2Dalian Zhixing
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
55% conf.
WRONG
Home
55%
Draw
22%
Away
23%
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
WRONG
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
38%
Draw
44%
Away
18%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.