How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Qingdao Youth Island, at 46.5%. The other outcomes represent 53.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 46.5% · Draw: 22.8% · Away win: 30.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Qingdao Youth Island 1707; Yunnan Yukun 1741. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Super League · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 07:30
Qingdao Youth Island
Elo 1707
1
-
1
Yunnan Yukun
Elo 1741
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
-33
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Qingdao Youth Island1707
Yunnan Yukun1741
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Qingdao Youth Island
0Draws
0Yunnan Yukun
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
WRONG
Home
46%
Draw
23%
Away
31%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
36%
Draw
39%
Away
25%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.