How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Shanghai Shenhua, at 63.3%. The other outcomes represent 36.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 20.2% · Draw: 16.6% · Away win: 63.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sichuan Jiuniu 1639; Shanghai Shenhua 1858. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Super League · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 07:30
Sichuan Jiuniu
Elo 1639
2
-
1
Shanghai Shenhua
Elo 1858
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-219
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Sichuan Jiuniu1639
Shanghai Shenhua1858
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Sichuan Jiuniu
0Draws
0Shanghai Shenhua
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
63% conf.
WRONG
Home
20%
Draw
17%
Away
63%
Both Teams to Score
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Away Clean Sheet
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
79%
No
21%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
22%
Draw
38%
Away
40%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
97% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
3%
No
97%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.