How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Changchun Yatai, at 67.3%. The other outcomes represent 32.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 67.3% · Draw: 18.5% · Away win: 14.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Changchun Yatai 1541; Meizhou Kejia 1407. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
League One · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 07:30
Changchun Yatai
Elo 1541
4
-
1
Meizhou Kejia
Elo 1407
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
+133
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Changchun Yatai1541
Meizhou Kejia1407
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Changchun Yatai
0Draws
0Meizhou Kejia
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
67% conf.
CORRECT
Home
67%
Draw
18%
Away
14%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Home Clean Sheet
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Half-Time Result
56% conf.
CORRECT
Home
56%
Draw
31%
Away
12%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Win to Nil
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.