How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Xiamen Feilu, at 42.2%. The other outcomes represent 57.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 31% · Draw: 26.7% · Away win: 42.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: BIT 1368; Xiamen Feilu 1469. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
League Two · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 07:30
BIT
Elo 1368
2
-
2
Xiamen Feilu
Elo 1469
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-102
H2H (4)
0H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
BIT1368
Xiamen Feilu1469
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0BIT
0Draws
4Xiamen Feilu
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
31%
Draw
27%
Away
42%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
29%
Draw
44%
Away
28%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
HT Over 1.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Over 1.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 3.5 Goals
82% conf.
WRONG
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.