How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Qingdao Red Lions, at 52.0%. The other outcomes represent 48.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 52% · Draw: 26.6% · Away win: 21.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Qingdao Red Lions 1386; Shangyu Pterosaur 1338. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
League Two · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 07:30
Qingdao Red Lions
Elo 1386
1
-
0
Shangyu Pterosaur
Elo 1338
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Elo Advantage
+49
H2H (4)
0H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Qingdao Red Lions1386
Shangyu Pterosaur1338
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Qingdao Red Lions
0Draws
4Shangyu Pterosaur
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
52% conf.
CORRECT
Home
52%
Draw
27%
Away
21%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
CORRECT
Home
38%
Draw
45%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Over 1.5 Goals
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 3.5 Goals
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.