How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Metalul Buzău, at 68.5%. The other outcomes represent 31.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 68.5% · Draw: 21.5% · Away win: 10%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Metalul Buzău 1837; Ştefăneşti 1582. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga II · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 08:00
Metalul Buzău
Elo 1837
3
-
0
Ştefăneşti
Elo 1582
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
+255
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Metalul Buzău1837
Ştefăneşti1582
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Metalul Buzău
0Draws
0Ştefăneşti
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
68% conf.
CORRECT
Home
68%
Draw
22%
Away
10%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
CORRECT
Home
48%
Draw
40%
Away
11%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
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Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.