How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is FC Politehnica Timisoara, at 59.9%. The other outcomes represent 40.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 59.9% · Draw: 23.8% · Away win: 16.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: FC Politehnica Timisoara 1871; FC Bacau 1810. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga II · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 10:00
FC Politehnica Timisoara
Elo 1871
1
-
0
FC Bacau
Elo 1810
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+61
Elo rating comparison
FC Politehnica Timisoara1871
FC Bacau1810
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—FC Politehnica Timisoara
—Draws
—FC Bacau
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
60% conf.
CORRECT
Home
60%
Draw
24%
Away
16%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
CORRECT
Home
46%
Draw
39%
Away
15%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.