How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Chindia Targoviste, at 68.1%. The other outcomes represent 31.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 68.1% · Draw: 20.5% · Away win: 11.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Chindia Targoviste 1796; CSM Satu Mare 1609. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga II · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 09:00
Chindia Targoviste
Elo 1796
3
-
2
CSM Satu Mare
Elo 1609
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
4D
0L
Elo Advantage
+187
Elo rating comparison
Chindia Targoviste1796
CSM Satu Mare1609
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Chindia Targoviste
—Draws
—CSM Satu Mare
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
68% conf.
CORRECT
Home
68%
Draw
21%
Away
11%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Half-Time Result
51% conf.
CORRECT
Home
51%
Draw
35%
Away
14%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.