How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Yadanarbon, at 43.6%. The other outcomes represent 56.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 35.3% · Draw: 21% · Away win: 43.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Ayeyawady United 1483; Yadanarbon 1543. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–5. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
National League · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 09:00
Ayeyawady United
Elo 1483
1
-
5
Yadanarbon
Elo 1543
FT
HT 1-2
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-60
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Ayeyawady United1483
Yadanarbon1543
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Ayeyawady United
0Draws
2Yadanarbon
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
35%
Draw
21%
Away
44%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Clean Sheet
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
29%
Draw
40%
Away
31%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.