How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Dagon, at 59.4%. The other outcomes represent 40.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 59.4% · Draw: 18% · Away win: 22.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Dagon 1700; Thitsar Arman 1522. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
National League · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 09:00
Dagon
Elo 1700
1
-
0
Thitsar Arman
Elo 1522
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+179
H2H (4)
0H
4D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Dagon1700
Thitsar Arman1522
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Dagon
4Draws
0Thitsar Arman
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
59% conf.
CORRECT
Home
59%
Draw
18%
Away
23%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
WRONG
Home
45%
Draw
35%
Away
20%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
WRONG
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.