How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Tartu Kalev, at 47.1%. The other outcomes represent 52.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 32.4% · Draw: 20.5% · Away win: 47.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: JK Tabasalu 1324; Tartu Kalev 1484. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Esiliiga B · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 09:30
JK Tabasalu
Elo 1324
2
-
1
Tartu Kalev
Elo 1484
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-161
H2H (6)
2H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
JK Tabasalu1324
Tartu Kalev1484
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2JK Tabasalu
0Draws
4Tartu Kalev
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
47% conf.
WRONG
Home
32%
Draw
20%
Away
47%
Both Teams to Score
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
70%
No
30%
Half-Time Result
36% conf.
WRONG
Home
30%
Draw
34%
Away
36%
HT Both Teams Score
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
HT Over 0.5
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
No
38%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.