How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Manila Digger, at 59.0%. The other outcomes represent 41.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 59% · Draw: 20.1% · Away win: 20.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Manila Digger 1890; Shan United 1863. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
AFC Challenge League · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 09:30
Manila Digger
Elo 1890
4
-
0
Shan United
Elo 1863
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+27
Elo rating comparison
Manila Digger1890
Shan United1863
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Manila Digger
—Draws
—Shan United
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
59% conf.
CORRECT
Home
59%
Draw
20%
Away
21%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
39%
Draw
40%
Away
20%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.