How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is FK Liepaja, at 55.3%. The other outcomes represent 44.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 55.3% · Draw: 23.6% · Away win: 21%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: FK Liepaja 1780; Tukums 1563. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Virsliga · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 10:00
FK Liepaja
Elo 1780
0
-
0
Tukums
Elo 1563
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+217
H2H (8)
2H
2D
4A
Elo rating comparison
FK Liepaja1780
Tukums1563
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2FK Liepaja
2Draws
4Tukums
8 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
55% conf.
WRONG
Home
55%
Draw
24%
Away
21%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
WRONG
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
42%
Draw
39%
Away
19%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.