How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is FK Tobol Kostanay, at 50.6%. The other outcomes represent 49.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 24.3% · Draw: 25.1% · Away win: 50.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Zhetysu 1570; FK Tobol Kostanay 1803. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 10:00
Zhetysu
Elo 1570
1
-
1
FK Tobol Kostanay
Elo 1803
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-233
H2H (1)
0H
1D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Zhetysu1570
FK Tobol Kostanay1803
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Zhetysu
1Draws
0FK Tobol Kostanay
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
51% conf.
WRONG
Home
24%
Draw
25%
Away
51%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Home Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
19%
Draw
41%
Away
39%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.