How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Real Sociedad W, at 64.7%. The other outcomes represent 35.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 64.7% · Draw: 18.2% · Away win: 17.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Real Sociedad W 1734; Espanyol W 1474. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera División Femenina · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 10:00
Real Sociedad W
Elo 1734
1
-
1
Espanyol W
Elo 1474
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+260
Elo rating comparison
Real Sociedad W1734
Espanyol W1474
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Real Sociedad W
—Draws
—Espanyol W
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
65% conf.
WRONG
Home
65%
Draw
18%
Away
17%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Away Clean Sheet
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Home Clean Sheet
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Double Chance 1X
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
WRONG
Home
48%
Draw
39%
Away
13%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.