How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Sporting CP B, at 45.5%. The other outcomes represent 54.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 45.5% · Draw: 30% · Away win: 24.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sporting CP B 1694; Portimonense 1611. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Segunda Liga · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 10:00
Sporting CP B
Elo 1694
3
-
0
Portimonense
Elo 1611
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
+83
Elo rating comparison
Sporting CP B1694
Portimonense1611
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Sporting CP B
—Draws
—Portimonense
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
CORRECT
Home
45%
@ 2.02
Draw
30%
@ 3.19
Away
25%
@ 3.54
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
@ 1.88
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
@ 1.26
No
25%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
@ 1.69
No
46%
Half-Time Result
50% conf.
WRONG
Home
29%
@ 2.68
Draw
50%
@ 2.05
Away
21%
@ 4.26
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
@ 1.42
No
38%
HT Over 1.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Over 1.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
@ 1.34
No
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
@ 2.13
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.