Jagiellonia U19 vs Arkonia U19

Central Youth League · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 · 11:00

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Jagiellonia U19, at 46.4%. The other outcomes represent 53.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 46.4% · Draw: 24.3% · Away win: 29.3%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Jagiellonia U19 1522; Arkonia U19 1524. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 4–4. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

Central Youth League · Sunday, Oct 25 2026 · 11:00
Jagiellonia U19
Elo 1522
4 - 4
Arkonia U19
Elo 1524
FT HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
2W 1D 2L
Away Form (5)
2W 2D 1L
Elo Advantage
-2

Elo rating comparison

Jagiellonia U191522
Arkonia U191524

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

—Jagiellonia U19
—Draws
—Arkonia U19

0 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
46% conf. WRONG
Home
46%
Draw
24%
Away
29%
Both Teams to Score
64% conf. CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf. CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
76% conf. CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf. CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
55% conf. CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Half-Time Result
35% conf. CORRECT
Home
35%
Draw
35%
Away
30%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf. WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf. CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf. WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf. CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf. CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf. WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Home Win to Nil
81% conf. CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Verified performance

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

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No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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