How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Lech Poznań U19, at 49.7%. The other outcomes represent 50.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 49.7% · Draw: 21.7% · Away win: 28.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Lech Poznań U19 1591; Talent Warszawa U19 1487. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Central Youth League · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 11:00
Lech Poznań U19
Elo 1591
4
-
1
Talent Warszawa U19
Elo 1487
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+103
Elo rating comparison
Lech Poznań U191591
Talent Warszawa U191487
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Lech Poznań U19
—Draws
—Talent Warszawa U19
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
50% conf.
CORRECT
Home
50%
Draw
22%
Away
29%
Both Teams to Score
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
42%
Draw
35%
Away
23%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.