How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Newcastle United U18, at 51.2%. The other outcomes represent 48.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 31.9% · Draw: 16.9% · Away win: 51.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Middlesbrough U18 1456; Newcastle United U18 1628. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
U18 Premier League - North · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 10:00
Middlesbrough U18
Elo 1456
3
-
1
Newcastle United U18
Elo 1628
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-172
H2H (4)
0H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Middlesbrough U181456
Newcastle United U181628
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Middlesbrough U18
0Draws
4Newcastle United U18
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
51% conf.
WRONG
Home
32%
Draw
17%
Away
51%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Clean Sheet
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
72%
No
28%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
WRONG
Home
21%
Draw
33%
Away
45%
HT Both Teams Score
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
29%
No
71%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 3.5 Goals
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Home Win to Nil
92% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
8%
No
92%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.