How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Sunderland U18, at 56.7%. The other outcomes represent 43.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 56.7% · Draw: 18.3% · Away win: 25%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sunderland U18 1519; Leeds United U18 1376. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–3. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
U18 Premier League - North · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 10:00
Sunderland U18
Elo 1519
4
-
3
Leeds United U18
Elo 1376
FT
HT 3-1
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
+143
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Sunderland U181519
Leeds United U181376
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Sunderland U18
0Draws
0Leeds United U18
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
57% conf.
CORRECT
Home
57%
Draw
18%
Away
25%
Both Teams to Score
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
CORRECT
Home
45%
Draw
35%
Away
20%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.