How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Piast Gliwice, at 46.6%. The other outcomes represent 53.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 46.6% · Draw: 25.7% · Away win: 27.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Piast Gliwice 1836; Cracovia Krakow 1796. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ekstraklasa · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 10:15
Piast Gliwice
Elo 1836
3
-
1
Cracovia Krakow
Elo 1796
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
+40
Elo rating comparison
Piast Gliwice1836
Cracovia Krakow1796
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Piast Gliwice
—Draws
—Cracovia Krakow
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
47%
Draw
26%
Away
28%
Both Teams to Score
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
Draw
38%
Away
26%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.