How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Bandırmaspor, at 43.4%. The other outcomes represent 56.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 43.4% · Draw: 25.3% · Away win: 31.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Bandırmaspor 1808; 76 Iğdır Belediyespor 1812. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
1. Lig · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 10:30
Bandırmaspor
Elo 1808
1
-
2
76 Iğdır Belediyespor
Elo 1812
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
-3
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Bandırmaspor1808
76 Iğdır Belediyespor1812
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Bandırmaspor
2Draws
076 Iğdır Belediyespor
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
43%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Clean Sheet
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
31%
Draw
47%
Away
22%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 3.5 Goals
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.