How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Ostersunds FK, at 38.8%. The other outcomes represent 61.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 38.8% · Draw: 26.7% · Away win: 34.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Ostersunds FK 1752; United Nordic 1792. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Superettan · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 11:00
Ostersunds FK
Elo 1752
4
-
1
United Nordic
Elo 1792
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-41
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Ostersunds FK1752
United Nordic1792
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Ostersunds FK
2Draws
0United Nordic
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
CORRECT
Home
39%
Draw
27%
Away
34%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Clean Sheet
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
CORRECT
Home
26%
Draw
48%
Away
26%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
WRONG
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
HT Over 1.5
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Over 1.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 3.5 Goals
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.