How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is IFK Varnamo, at 40.2%. The other outcomes represent 59.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 40.2% · Draw: 24.7% · Away win: 35.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: IFK Varnamo 1704; Sandviken 1745. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Superettan · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 11:00
IFK Varnamo
Elo 1704
0
-
1
Sandviken
Elo 1745
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-40
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
IFK Varnamo1704
Sandviken1745
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2IFK Varnamo
0Draws
0Sandviken
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
40%
Draw
25%
Away
35%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
28%
Draw
41%
Away
30%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.