How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Lund, at 37.4%. The other outcomes represent 62.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 32.3% · Draw: 30.3% · Away win: 37.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Eskilsminne 1589; Lund 1658. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–4. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ettan - Södra · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 11:00
Eskilsminne
Elo 1589
1
-
4
Lund
Elo 1658
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-69
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Eskilsminne1589
Lund1658
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Eskilsminne
0Draws
2Lund
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
37% conf.
CORRECT
Home
32%
Draw
30%
Away
37%
Both Teams to Score
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
29%
Draw
38%
Away
33%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.