How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Lipno Stęszew, at 45.7%. The other outcomes represent 54.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 45.7% · Draw: 24.8% · Away win: 29.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Lipno Stęszew 1458; Gedania Gdansk 1434. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
III Liga - Group 2 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 11:00
Lipno Stęszew
Elo 1458
1
-
2
Gedania Gdansk
Elo 1434
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
+24
Elo rating comparison
Lipno Stęszew1458
Gedania Gdansk1434
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Lipno Stęszew
—Draws
—Gedania Gdansk
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
WRONG
Home
46%
Draw
25%
Away
30%
Both Teams to Score
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Half-Time Result
36% conf.
CORRECT
Home
35%
Draw
36%
Away
30%
HT Both Teams Score
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.