How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is 1. FC Heidenheim, at 48.4%. The other outcomes represent 51.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 48.4% · Draw: 21.2% · Away win: 30.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: 1. FC Heidenheim 1882; Energie Cottbus 1830. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
2. Bundesliga · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 11:00
1. FC Heidenheim
Elo 1882
1
-
1
Energie Cottbus
Elo 1830
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+52
Elo rating comparison
1. FC Heidenheim1882
Energie Cottbus1830
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—1. FC Heidenheim
—Draws
—Energie Cottbus
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
WRONG
Home
48%
Draw
21%
Away
30%
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
41%
Draw
32%
Away
27%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.