How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is FCM Ungheni, at 49.5%. The other outcomes represent 50.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 49.5% · Draw: 20.2% · Away win: 30.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: FCM Ungheni 1591; Vulturii Cutezători 1485. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 6–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga 1 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 11:00
FCM Ungheni
Elo 1591
6
-
1
Vulturii Cutezători
Elo 1485
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
+106
H2H (6)
4H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
FCM Ungheni1591
Vulturii Cutezători1485
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4FCM Ungheni
0Draws
2Vulturii Cutezători
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
50% conf.
CORRECT
Home
50%
Draw
20%
Away
30%
Both Teams to Score
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
CORRECT
Home
38%
Draw
33%
Away
29%
HT Both Teams Score
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 1.5 Goals
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
90%
No
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.