How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is FC Stăuceni, at 60.6%. The other outcomes represent 39.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 60.6% · Draw: 20.3% · Away win: 19%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: FC Stăuceni 1551; FC National Ialoveni 1455. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga 1 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 11:00
FC Stăuceni
Elo 1551
1
-
0
FC National Ialoveni
Elo 1455
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
+96
H2H (8)
0H
4D
4A
Elo rating comparison
FC Stăuceni1551
FC National Ialoveni1455
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0FC Stăuceni
4Draws
4FC National Ialoveni
8 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
61% conf.
CORRECT
Home
61%
Draw
20%
Away
19%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
44%
Draw
37%
Away
19%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
WRONG
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.