How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Mazıdağı Fosfatspor, at 39.4%. The other outcomes represent 60.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 39.4% · Draw: 23.2% · Away win: 37.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Mazıdağı Fosfatspor 1566; Bitlis Özgüzelderespor 1573. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
3. Lig - Group 3 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 11:00
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor
Elo 1566
1
-
1
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor
Elo 1573
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
-7
Elo rating comparison
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor1566
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor1573
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Mazıdağı Fosfatspor
—Draws
—Bitlis Özgüzelderespor
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
39%
Draw
23%
Away
37%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
30%
Draw
41%
Away
29%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.