Budafoki LC vs Érdi VSE

NB III - Southwest · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 · 11:00

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Budafoki LC, at 51.7%. The other outcomes represent 48.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 51.7% · Draw: 21.4% · Away win: 26.9%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Budafoki LC 1699; Érdi VSE 1633. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 2–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

NB III - Southwest · Saturday, Oct 24 2026 · 11:00
Budafoki LC
Elo 1699
2 - 2
Érdi VSE
Elo 1633
FT HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
1W 1D 3L
Away Form (5)
3W 0D 2L
Elo Advantage
+66

Elo rating comparison

Budafoki LC1699
Érdi VSE1633

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

—Budafoki LC
—Draws
—Érdi VSE

0 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
52% conf. WRONG
Home
52%
Draw
21%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
64% conf. CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf. CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
79% conf. CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf. CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
53% conf. CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Half-Time Result
44% conf. WRONG
Home
44%
Draw
31%
Away
25%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf. CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf. CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf. CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
91% conf. CORRECT
Yes
91%
No
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
68% conf. CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 3.5 Goals
53% conf. CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf. CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Verified performance

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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