How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Paksi SE II, at 48.3%. The other outcomes represent 51.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 32.2% · Draw: 19.5% · Away win: 48.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sárbogárd 1410; Paksi SE II 1496. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–6. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
NB III - Southwest · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 11:00
Sárbogárd
Elo 1410
0
-
6
Paksi SE II
Elo 1496
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-86
Elo rating comparison
Sárbogárd1410
Paksi SE II1496
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Sárbogárd
—Draws
—Paksi SE II
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
CORRECT
Home
32%
Draw
20%
Away
48%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
CORRECT
Home
29%
Draw
34%
Away
37%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 1.5 Goals
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
90%
No
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 3.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.