How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Unión Sur Yaiza, at 66.0%. The other outcomes represent 34.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 66% · Draw: 23.5% · Away win: 10.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Unión Sur Yaiza 1488; Laguna de Duero 1259. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 11:00
Unión Sur Yaiza
Elo 1488
3
-
1
Laguna de Duero
Elo 1259
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
+229
Elo rating comparison
Unión Sur Yaiza1488
Laguna de Duero1259
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Unión Sur Yaiza
—Draws
—Laguna de Duero
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
66% conf.
CORRECT
Home
66%
Draw
24%
Away
11%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
43%
Draw
40%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
67%
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.