How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Ludogorets III, at 82.7%. The other outcomes represent 17.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 82.7% · Draw: 11.5% · Away win: 5.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Ludogorets III 1842; Dorostol 1258. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Third League - Northeast · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 11:00
Ludogorets III
Elo 1842
3
-
0
Dorostol
Elo 1258
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Elo Advantage
+584
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Ludogorets III1842
Dorostol1258
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Ludogorets III
0Draws
0Dorostol
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
83% conf.
CORRECT
Home
83%
Draw
11%
Away
6%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Away Clean Sheet
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
7%
No
93%
Home Clean Sheet
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Double Chance 1X
100% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
100%
No
0%
Double Chance X2
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Half-Time Result
66% conf.
CORRECT
Home
66%
Draw
24%
Away
10%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.