How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Olympic Varna, at 56.1%. The other outcomes represent 43.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 56.1% · Draw: 20.7% · Away win: 23.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Olympic Varna 1415; Riltzi 1330. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Third League - Northeast · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 11:00
Olympic Varna
Elo 1415
2
-
0
Riltzi
Elo 1330
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+86
Elo rating comparison
Olympic Varna1415
Riltzi1330
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Olympic Varna
—Draws
—Riltzi
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
56% conf.
CORRECT
Home
56%
Draw
21%
Away
23%
Both Teams to Score
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Away Clean Sheet
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
9%
No
91%
Home Clean Sheet
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
23%
No
77%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Half-Time Result
51% conf.
CORRECT
Home
51%
Draw
30%
Away
18%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 1.5 Goals
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
90%
No
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.