How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Ružomberok II, at 40.3%. The other outcomes represent 59.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 37.6% · Draw: 22.1% · Away win: 40.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Fomat Martin 1602; Ružomberok II 1651. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
3. liga - Center · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 11:30
Fomat Martin
Elo 1602
4
-
2
Ružomberok II
Elo 1651
FT
HT 2-1
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-48
H2H (1)
0H
1D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Fomat Martin1602
Ružomberok II1651
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Fomat Martin
1Draws
0Ružomberok II
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
38%
Draw
22%
Away
40%
Both Teams to Score
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
31%
Draw
38%
Away
30%
HT Both Teams Score
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 1.5 Goals
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
90%
No
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.