How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Fiľakovo, at 43.2%. The other outcomes represent 56.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 35% · Draw: 21.8% · Away win: 43.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Oravské Veselé 1474; Fiľakovo 1586. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
3. liga - Center · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 11:30
Oravské Veselé
Elo 1474
2
-
0
Fiľakovo
Elo 1586
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-112
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Oravské Veselé1474
Fiľakovo1586
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Oravské Veselé
0Draws
2Fiľakovo
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
35%
Draw
22%
Away
43%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
84% conf.
WRONG
Yes
16%
No
84%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
27%
Draw
38%
Away
34%
HT Both Teams Score
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
WRONG
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.