How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Hatayspor, at 44.8%. The other outcomes represent 55.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 44.8% · Draw: 21.7% · Away win: 33.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Hatayspor 1473; Erbaaspor 1530. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
2. Lig · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 11:30
Hatayspor
Elo 1473
0
-
3
Erbaaspor
Elo 1530
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Elo Advantage
-56
Elo rating comparison
Hatayspor1473
Erbaaspor1530
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Hatayspor
—Draws
—Erbaaspor
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
WRONG
Home
45%
Draw
22%
Away
33%
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Half-Time Result
36% conf.
WRONG
Home
36%
Draw
35%
Away
29%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.