How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Kvik Halden, at 42.9%. The other outcomes represent 57.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 34.1% · Draw: 23% · Away win: 42.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Eik-Tønsberg 1502; Kvik Halden 1621. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
2. Division - Group 1 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 12:00
Eik-Tønsberg
Elo 1502
3
-
0
Kvik Halden
Elo 1621
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
-119
H2H (1)
0H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Eik-Tønsberg1502
Kvik Halden1621
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Eik-Tønsberg
0Draws
1Kvik Halden
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
34%
Draw
23%
Away
43%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Clean Sheet
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
20%
No
80%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
28%
Draw
39%
Away
32%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.