How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Follo, at 38.5%. The other outcomes represent 61.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 38.5% · Draw: 23.7% · Away win: 37.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Follo 1538; Skeid 1593. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
2. Division - Group 2 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 12:00
Follo
Elo 1538
2
-
0
Skeid
Elo 1593
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-55
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Follo1538
Skeid1593
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Follo
0Draws
2Skeid
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
CORRECT
Home
38%
Draw
24%
Away
38%
Both Teams to Score
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
82% conf.
WRONG
Yes
18%
No
82%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
33%
Draw
38%
Away
29%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
WRONG
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.