How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Asker, at 59.4%. The other outcomes represent 40.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 59.4% · Draw: 17.3% · Away win: 23.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Asker 1699; Union Carl Berner 1515. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 5–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
3. Division - Girone 1 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 12:00
Asker
Elo 1699
5
-
1
Union Carl Berner
Elo 1515
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+185
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Asker1699
Union Carl Berner1515
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Asker
0Draws
0Union Carl Berner
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
59% conf.
CORRECT
Home
59%
Draw
17%
Away
23%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Half-Time Result
51% conf.
CORRECT
Home
51%
Draw
33%
Away
16%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.