How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Minija, at 51.4%. The other outcomes represent 48.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 26.5% · Draw: 22.2% · Away win: 51.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: BFA 1571; Minija 1703. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
1 Lyga · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 11:30
BFA
Elo 1571
2
-
1
Minija
Elo 1703
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-133
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
BFA1571
Minija1703
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0BFA
0Draws
2Minija
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
51% conf.
WRONG
Home
26%
Draw
22%
Away
51%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
68%
No
32%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
25%
Draw
36%
Away
39%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.