How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Stargard Szczeciński, at 48.3%. The other outcomes represent 51.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 48.3% · Draw: 23% · Away win: 28.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Stargard Szczeciński 1575; Grom Nowy Staw 1518. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
III Liga - Group 2 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 12:00
Stargard Szczeciński
Elo 1575
3
-
1
Grom Nowy Staw
Elo 1518
FT
HT 2-1
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
+57
Elo rating comparison
Stargard Szczeciński1575
Grom Nowy Staw1518
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Stargard Szczeciński
—Draws
—Grom Nowy Staw
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
CORRECT
Home
48%
Draw
23%
Away
29%
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
CORRECT
Home
43%
Draw
36%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.