How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Nilüfer Belediye, at 48.2%. The other outcomes represent 51.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 48.2% · Draw: 31% · Away win: 20.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Nilüfer Belediye 1568; Ayvalikgucu 1660. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
3. Lig - Group 2 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 12:00
Nilüfer Belediye
Elo 1568
1
-
1
Ayvalikgucu
Elo 1660
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Elo Advantage
-92
Elo rating comparison
Nilüfer Belediye1568
Ayvalikgucu1660
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Nilüfer Belediye
—Draws
—Ayvalikgucu
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
WRONG
Home
48%
Draw
31%
Away
21%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
Draw
43%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Over 1.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 3.5 Goals
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.