How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Bigaspor, at 62.4%. The other outcomes represent 37.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 21.9% · Draw: 15.7% · Away win: 62.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Denizli İYG 1443; Bigaspor 1522. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
3. Lig - Group 2 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 12:00
Denizli İYG
Elo 1443
2
-
0
Bigaspor
Elo 1522
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-80
Elo rating comparison
Denizli İYG1443
Bigaspor1522
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Denizli İYG
—Draws
—Bigaspor
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
62% conf.
WRONG
Home
22%
Draw
16%
Away
62%
Both Teams to Score
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
89% conf.
WRONG
Yes
11%
No
89%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Half-Time Result
50% conf.
WRONG
Home
22%
Draw
28%
Away
50%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 3.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Home Win to Nil
97% conf.
WRONG
Yes
3%
No
97%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.